Interesting semi-classical pun

Interesting semi-classical pun

This is an interesting semi-classical pun used polemically between the scholarly economics professor Guan Chung-min duly elected to be president of Taiwan University but whose appointment is being blocked politically because of his political incorrectness and the chief cabinet minister Lai Ching-de of the Democratic Progressive Party.

[I]  On April 13, 2018, in reaction to the sudden resignation of Taiwan’s education minister, economics professor and legally elected president of Taiwan University Guan Chung-min quoted a semi-classical passage from Jing Yong’s classical novel “Jiu Yang Zhen Jing”: “ta qiang you ta qiang, qing feng fei shan gang, ta heng ren ta heng, ming yue zhao da jiang”.

The passage means:  He is strong, so let him be strong, treat it as light wind sweeping over the top of a mound.  He is brutal, so let him be brutal, treat it like the moonlight shining on the surface of the water in the big river”.

[II]  Chief cabinet minister Lai Ching-de responded by quoting the next passage:  “Ta zi hen lai ta zi e, wo zi yi kou zhen qi zhu”.

The passage means:  “He is brutal and he is evil, but I stand with my true and full breath unfazed”.

The exchange of polemics followed the public statement by the resigning minister of education saying that the reason for his resignation is his unwillingness to continue the political meddling, the political interference, and the political intervention of the legal appointment of duly elected economics professor to be president of Taiwan University.  He refuses to be the political executioner for the administrative brutality to enforce the illegal political correctness of the Democratic Progressive Party.

A Taiwanese commentator says that Lai Ching-de’s response [II] is an admission that his and Tsai Ing-wen’s  government of their Democratic Progressive Party stands by their political brutality and their political evilness.  The vulgar politician has outsmarted himself by quoting that passage.

 

 

 

 

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Why is Taiwanese politics so vexatious?

Why is Taiwanese politics so vexatious?

Incumbent politically independent Taipei mayor Ko Wen-je says on April 14, 2018, that Taiwanese politics is vexatious because it is money politics.

The mayor is trying to be politically correct and is not really telling the truth.

The Kuomintang is trying to field candidates for the November 24, 2018, nine-in-one local elections without much financial resources after being financially depleted by the administratively brutal political vendetta of the Tsai Ing-wen and Democratic Progressive Party government of the past two years since May 20, 2016.

The elitist government of professional technocrats of the Kuomintang (KMT) during the 1950’s to 1999 and from 2008 to 2016 has been replaced by the gangster government of the Democratic Progressive Party in 2000-2008 and since May 20, 2016.

This question is now being asked:  Would those who first voted for the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) in 2016 vote for it again on November 24, 2018?

Due to the failures of the DPP government of the past two years and the total financial and political devastation of the KMT, several scenarios have been presented:  (1)  Voters will vote for smaller political parties.  (2)  Voters will vote for candidates, not the political parties.  (3)  Many eligible voters will not vote at all, and voter turnout will be extremely low.  (4)  Only those fanatically loyal to their political parties will vote for their parties.

Here are the true reasons why Taiwanese politics is so vexatious.

(i)  Taiwan’s political culture in 2000-2008 and since May 20, 2016, is characterized by political ignorance and political banality of the voting public, and political vulgarity of the elected officials.

(ii)  Taiwanese politics of the genteel Kuomintang administration from 2008 to 2016 has degenerated into gangster politics of the Democratic Progressive Party.

(iii)  The humble elitist politics and the culture of upright democratic politics of the Kuomintang intelligentsia have degenerated into political vulgarity and political arrogance and a culture of political hooliganism of the Democratic Progressive Party.

(iv)  Elitist politics can easily turn into elitist authoritarianism and into Singapore’s benevolent dictatorship.  But the Kuomintang government of former president Ma Ying-jeou from 2008 to 2016 remained a fully democratic elitist government without becoming an elitist authoritarian government nor a Singaporean style benevolent dictatorship.  The political vulgarity of Tsai Ing-wen and her Democratic Progressive Party has destroyed Taiwan’s benevolent elitism and Taiwan’s upright democracy within two years in office.

(v)  Taiwan’s upright democratic values and its democratic values of political justice have been destroyed in two years and have been replaced within two years by democratically illegal administrative bullying and political meddling to enforce political correctness as defined by the Democratic Progressive Party.

(vi)  Taiwanese politics is being eroded by political hooliganism of the government of Tsai Ing-wen and her Democratic Progressive Party.

(vii)  These are the true reasons why Taiwanese politics is so vexatious.

 

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Fiction: A war game

Fiction:  A war game

It is April 6, 2019.  Taiwan’s referendum for independence has ended.  The referendum passes.  The results are announced at 11:00 p.m.

It is 11:30 p.m., April 6, 2019.  The PLA issues an international warning.  At 11:59 p.m., the first of 103 cruise missiles are launched from Fujian province across the Taiwan Strait at Taipei City.  Three specific targets are to be hit:  the residence of Tsai Ing-wen, the residence of chief cabinet minister Lai Ching-de who claims to be a political worker for Taiwan independence, and the headquarters of the Democratic Progressive Party.

Of the 103 cruise missiles launched by the Second Artillery Corps of the PLA, the People’s Liberation Army, 71 are successfully intercepted by Taiwan’s aerial defense force.  The barrage lasts for four hours, about 2.33 minutes per launch.

The success rate of interception is 71/103 % = 68.932%.  The success rate of bombardment is 1 – 68.932% = 31.068%.  Assuming 90% accuracy, each targeted site is hit by 10 missiles.  Besides structural damage, there are no civilian casualties.

All is quiet the next day.

Life goes on.

 

 

 

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Fiction: Taiwan should go rogue!

Fiction:  Taiwan should go rogue!

This is fiction in the “what if” genre.

It contemplates a question proposed by a student of international law at Soochow University in Taiwan on January 30, 2018:

Would Taiwan’s intentional refusal to cooperate with the UN Security Council’s resolution to sanction North Korea bring about a new diplomatic breakthrough for Taiwan?

He points out that Taiwan is not a member of the United Nations.  Taiwan is not a member of international regulatory organizations for health, maritime affairs, aviation.  Taiwan therefore does not need to abide by any United Nations and Security Council resolutions.

He cites the UN Security Council Resolution 2375 concerning the “illegal” ship to ship transfer of 600 tons of refined oil from the Lighthouse Winmore, a vessel chartered by the Taiwanese company “Billions Bunker Group” registered in the Marshall Islands, to a North Korean ship on October 19, 2017, in the open sea.

His conjecture

His argument is that such “illegal” activity on the part of “Taiwanese ships” would create international incidents in which the UN will have to take note of, forcing the UN to deal with Taiwan as a “national entity”, and thus include “Taiwan” in all international consultations as “a regular member” of the United Nations.

Fiction:  What if?

Taiwan becomes a rogue state by declaring noncompliance with any UN and Security Council sanctions against North Korea.

Taiwan refuses to accept any UN condemnation for its intentional noncompliance since Taiwan is not a member of the UN, and therefore the UN has no legal grounds nor legal right to condemn Taiwan for its intentional noncompliance with UN and Security Council resolutions.

What would be fictitiously plausible is that Taiwan and North Korea both establish representative offices in Pyongyang and Taipei.  Taiwan involves itself economically, technologically, commercially, in the social development and modernization of North Korea, replacing North Korea’s reliance on the Chinese Communist mainland that sides with the United States and supports severe UN sanctions against North Korea.

North Korea can help Taiwan by exporting its nuclear weapons know-how to Taiwan.

Since Taiwan is not recognized by the United Nations, it can import North Korean nuclear weapons technology with impunity since it has no legal status as member of the United Nations and therefore there is no legal ground for “violation” of any UN nonproliferation agreements.

Taiwan now has a government of political scoundrels, miscreants, hoodlums, thugs and gangsters.

Taiwan should utilize the talents of its political scoundrels, miscreants, hoodlums, thugs, and gangsters to make a diplomatic breakthrough by actively and intentionally defying UN resolutions and sanctions and by intentionally engaging in international agitation specifically against the resolutions and sanctions of the UN Security Council against North Korea.

Taiwan should practice diplomatic hooliganism since it already exports criminals who engage in international electronic and phone fraud worldwide.

Taiwan is now a society led by a government of scoundrels, miscreants, hoodlums, hooligans, gangsters, thugs, and liars.  Taiwan also has a population of scoundrels, miscreants, hooligans, thugs who roam the streets and in the halls of government.

The vulgar people of Taiwan can only elect vulgar politicians since they do not have any others to vote for.

So, being so dastardly vulgar, why not go rogue?

Yes!  Taiwan should go rogue!

 

 

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Taiwanese willingness to go to war

Taiwanese willingness to go to war

Here are some insightful followup statistics made public by the Taiwan Foundation for Democracy on April 3, 2018.  The statics are based on a survey of 825 responses from Taiwanese 39 years old and younger (group of 39-) and 747 Taiwanese 40 year old and older (group of 40+) based on a population distribution of 38% who are aged 39 years old and younger (population of 39- years old) and 62% who are aged 40 years old and older (population of 40+ years old) conducted in February and March, 2018.

Two questions were asked:  (1)  Willingness to go to war if a unilateral declaration of independence by Taiwan causes a military attack and invasion of Taiwan.  (2)  Willingness to go to war if the Chinese Communist regime launches a military invasion of Taiwan to force unification of Taiwan with the Chinese mainland.

(I)  If the declaration of de jure Taiwan independence causes a military attack and invasion of Taiwan:  32.6% of those aged 39- and 39.2% of those aged 40+ would not be willing to go to war and fight for Taiwan, 63.4% of those aged 39- and 49.9% of those 40+ would be willing to go to war and fight for Taiwan, and 4.0% of those 39- and 10.8% of those 40+ do not know.

(II)  If the PLA, People’s Liberation Army, forces launch a preemptive attack on Taiwan:  25.5% of those 39- and 24.9% of those 40+ would not be willing to go to war for Taiwan, 70.3% of those 39- and 66.1% of those 40+ would be willing o go to war to defend Taiwan, with 3.2% of those 39- and 9.0% of those 40+ do not know.

Four scenarios based on the assumption that the Chinese Communist regime does not launch any military attack on Taiwan are described in the survey:

(1)  If the PLA does not attack to realize unification by military force, Taiwan declares de jure independence, and China does not democratize, 26.5% would be against unification.

Among those 20-29 years old, 32.5% would be against unification; among those 30-39 years old, 33.8% would be against unification; and among those 40+, 19.0% would be against unification.

(2)  If the PLA does not attack to realize unification by military force, Taiwan declares de jure independence, China democratizes, 13.1% would support unification.

Among those 20-29 years old, 10.1% would support unification; among those 30-39 years old, 14.4% would support unification; and among those 40+, 14.1% would support unification.

(3)  If the PLA does not attack to realize unification by military force, Taiwan refuses to declare de jure independence, China democratizes, 18.7% would support unification.

Among those 20-29 years old, 9.6% would support unification; among those 30-39 years old, 12.9% would support unification; and among those 40+, 26.9% would support unification.

(4)  If the PLA does not attack to realize unification by military force, Taiwan refuses to declare de jure independence, China democratizes, 31.3% would not support unification.

Among those 20-29 years old, 44.3% would not support unification; among those 30-39 years old, 35.0% would not support unification; and among those 40+, 22.8% would not support unification.

Analysts say the data shows that regardless of whether China democratizes or not, and even if Taiwan does not come under attack by the PLA, most would reject eventual peaceful unification of Taiwan with the Chinese mainland.

Among those 20-29 years old, 3.5% indicated “no response”; among those 30-39 years old, 4.0% indicated “no response”; and among those 40+, 17.3% indicated “no response”.

This survey shows that 63.4% of those aged 39- and 49.9% of those aged 40+ would be willing to go to war if declaration of de jure independence precipitates a PLA attack on Taiwan.  However, if the PLA launches a preemptive attack due to impatience on the part of the Chinese mainland military hawks, 70.3% of those aged 39- and 66.1% of those aged 40+ would be willing to go to war to defend Taiwan.

Analysts say that this indicates that the Taiwanese are less willing to defend de jure Taiwan independence, and more willing to defend Taiwan if attacked.  Their willingness to defend the territory of Taiwan from outside PLA attack is the main motivation, not defending Taiwan’s de jure independence.

The survey also reveals shortsightedness on the part of the Taiwanese people.  They reject the concepts of “people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait are of one family” under the “one China principle” and they are unwilling to pursue “co-prosperity” with the Chinese Communist mainland.

 

 

 

 

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Fiction: 2028

Fiction:  2028

It is July 4, 2028.  The new AIT office has been operating for 10 years since its opening in 2018.  John Bolton visits the Taipei AIT.

The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is reelected to government in 2020, 2024 and 2028.  It prepares to declare de jure independence.  Lai Ching-de who claims to be a “political worker for Taiwan independence” back on September 8, 2017, is president, reelected for his second term in 2024.

In September, 2028, the PLA prepares to launch a frontal attack on Taiwan.  On the eve of September 28, 2028, 1,000 short range missiles rain down on Taiwan.  A worldwide warrant is issued for the arrest of Lai Ching-de and high ranking officials of the DPP government.

The PLA general who claimed Taiwan would fall in 3 days or 72 hours back in April, 2018, is surprised as Taiwan is still fighting after 100 hours.  A previously estimated 70.3% of those Taiwanese under 39 years old who would be willing to fight for Taiwan back in April, 2018, pick up arms in resistance.

When asked:  Are you fighting for Taiwan independence or are you fighting for territorial integrity or for Taiwanese values of democracy, democratic government and people’s right to vote for their own government?  The 70.3% answer:  We fight because Taiwan is being attacked and invaded by the PLA.  We fight for territorial integrity and our right to vote for our own government.  It has nothing to do with wanting Taiwan independence or not.  We are not fighting for the particular political agenda of Taiwan independence of the Democratic Progressive Party.   We fight to resist the military invasion for unification with the Chinese mainland by the PLA.

We need not fight if unification is peaceful.

The PLA general also said back in April 2018 that Taiwan will fall and capitulate without landing troops on the island.  Aerial bombardment will suffice since the Democratic Progressive Party’s government will have collapsed, all of its high ranking officials will have escaped, the government will have been abandoned, and some military elements and militia will rise up against the DPP government and help the invading PLA eliminate Taiwan independence advocates and officials.

Pro-unification forces of the Kuomintang take over government and declare a truce.  Taiwanese officials of the Democratic Progressive Party are rounded up, stood before firing squads, shot, and their bodies hanged along the streets as traitors.

An international manhunt is launched to apprehend all escaped DPP officials.

Unification of Taiwan with the Chinese mainland by military force is achieved in 2032.  A Kuomintang governor is installed to govern Taiwan under martial law until 2049.

 

 

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Taiwan takes 2nd place at 21st Moscow Archimedes Salon

Taiwan takes 2nd place at 21st Moscow Archimedes Salon

Taiwan teams won 19 gold, 19 silver and 8 special awards at the 2018 21st Moscow International Inventions and Innovative Technology Salon Archimedes held on April 5-8, 2018, in Moscow.

 

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