What is natural?

What is natural?

Our two fictional heroines Pat and Kate have noticed that the average lifespan of Taiwanese men is 77.01 years old and the average lifespan of Taiwanese women is 83.62 years old, showing that the women outlive their men by 6.61 years, and Taiwanese women even outlive the average lifespan of 80.2 years old by 3.42 years.

Kate:  The natural birth ratio of boys to girls is more boys than girls, i.e., the number of boys is 100+ : 100 girls, and women naturally outlive their men on average not considering female deaths by disease such as cancer.  My question is:  Is the marriage custom of older men taking younger wives natural or against nature?

Pat:  Based on the statistical fact that more baby boys are born than baby girls naturally and women outlive their men naturally, the custom of older men taking younger wives is against nature.

Kate:  Then, what should be natural is older women marrying younger men, and women should marry men 6 to 10 years their junior.

Pat:  Younger men produce more viable sperm than older men.  And a female’s natural selection should favor younger men.

Kate:  So child brides are against nature and are unnatural.

Pat:  There used to be a Chinese custom called “tong yang xi”.  “Tong” means “a child”, “yang” means “to raise” and “xi” refers to a “bride” and a “daughter in law”.  Poor peasants would sell their daughters to a wealthy family with a son as the son’s “bride” and the family’s future “daughter in law”.  In all of these cases, the sons are much younger than the purchased “bride”.  At that time, most marriages are arranged marriages.  The parents had absolute say as to whom their son married, and the purchased bride is taken in to take care of the young son.

Kate:  It therefore seems more natural that young sons marry older girls, and young men marry older women.

Pat:  Then, taking child brides is against nature but having a harem of older women is natural.



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Dissatisfaction with Tsai at 63%

Dissatisfaction with Tsai at 63%

According to the TVBS poll of 1,547 people with 478 refusals or a 30.9% refusal rate, conducted on June 12-20, 2017, a successful sampling of 1,069 responses issued on June 22, 2017, shows dissatisfaction with President Tsai Ing-wen is now at 63% and only 21% are satisfied with her.  Among those 20-29 years old, 65% are dissatisfied with her and 20% are satisfied with her.

There are 51% who do not trust her and 36% who still do.

Dissatisfaction with chief cabinet minister Lin Chuan is at 61% while 21% are satisfied with him.

Only 28% support the “forward looking plan” proposed by the Tsai Ing-wen government while 46% do not support it.  The “light rail infrastructural plan”, which is one of the major projects costing half of the NT$880 billion to be spent over 8 years by raising debt, is opposed by 47% and supported by 39%.

Political vulgarity

The legislators of the Democratic Progressive Party are trying to force passage of legislative proposals, including pension reforms and the “forward looking plan” proposal without legislative discussion and debate, and are unwilling to make any changes to the proposals to accommodate public opinion.

Other extremely vulgar and utterly despicable statements made by utterly disgraceful and shameless spokespersons of the Democratic Progressive Party sympathizers are too distasteful to mention here.

The utter political and sociopolitical vulgarity of the Taiwanese people who claim to speak for Taiwan, and I am referring here specifically to those who claim to be native Taiwanese, not those of first, second and third generation of Chinese mainland ancestry born on Taiwan, is truly disgusting.



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Political correctness hijacks intelligence

Political correctness hijacks intelligence

This has been a sociopolitical phenomenon that has been going on all over the world since the late 1990’s.  However, it has not been studied as a subject, and proof is difficult.

A June 14-16, 2017, survey of 1,070 responses conducted by Taiwan’s National Policy Research Foundation seems to provide proof that this sociopolitical phenomenon is real.

The survey asked:  Are you willing to tolerate power shortages and limitations on electricity use for the sake of achieving the political agenda of a “2025 nuclear free homeland” proposed by the Democratic Progressive Party?  48.5% are willing to tolerate limitations on the use of electricity and power shortages, 46.5% are unwilling, 52.6% are unwilling to pay higher electricity bills to achieve the “nuclear free” political agenda, 42.3% are willing, 53.9% do not support immediate shutdown of all nuclear power plants to achieve the “nuclear free” political agenda, 33% support it, 46.8% support restarting Nuclear Power Plant No. 1 and Nuclear Power Plant No. 3 to go online, 32.5% do not support restarting them to guarantee a stable power supply, 35.3% support allowing an extension of service of the three operating nuclear power plants, 32.3% are willing to unseal Nuclear Power Plant No. 4 and allow it to go into operation, 47.9% are unwilling to sacrifice farmland and convert it into solar energy farms while 38.8% are willing to sacrifice farmland for solar energy “plantations”, 48.3% do not support erecting wind power generators on a widespread basis, 39.8% support erecting wind power turbines on a widespread basis, 75.3% do not support building thermal power plants to replace nuclear power plants.

The survey also shows that after one full year in office, 64.5% are dissatisfied with President Tsai Ing-wen, 25.4% are satisfied with her, 67.5% are dissatisfied with chief cabinet minister Lin Chuan and his cabinet and 17.6% are.

It has been pointed out that without a stable supply of electric power, Taiwanese manufacturers will be forced to go elsewhere, and Taiwan’s economy will be severely damaged.

Yet, as shown above, 48.5% are willing to tolerate power shortages and limitations on electricity use just to achieve the political agenda of a “nuclear free homeland by 2025”.  And 38.8% are willing to sacrifice farmland for solar energy.

The common sense and the intelligence of these people have indeed been hijacked by political correctness.


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Tricky survey questions

Tricky survey questions

Here are a few results of some tricky survey questions that turned out to show the opposite of what the questions were designed to show.  The survey of 953 responses was conducted on June 17-18, 2017 by a Trend Public Opinion company commissioned by a pro-Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and pro-Tsai Ing-wen organization.  The questions were designed to show support for President Tsai Ing-wen’s policy of “maintaining the status quo” in relations with the Chinese Communist mainland.  However, DPP’s Tainan mayor Lai Ching-de is in the United States making public statements openly contradicting and challenging DPP chairwoman and president Tsai Ing-wen’s policy position.   Apparently Tainan’s DPP mayor is taking advantage of the low popularity and low trustworthiness of President Tsai Ing-wen to shore up support for his possible bid for the presidency in 2020 against President Tsai Ing-wen if she decides to seek reelection.

The results show that 55.7% want to “maintain the status quo” but they also show 65.3% want President Tsai Ing-wen to “adjust” her “status quo policy position”, 19% do not, and among those 20-29 years old, 69.4% want her to “adjust”, among those 30-39 years old, 73.4% want her to “adjust”, among those 40-49 years old, 72.4% want her to “adjust”, and among supporters of the Democratic Progressive Party, 77.4% want her to “adjust” while 14.5% do not.  The contradiction is unexplained.

The survey also asked about personal identification as “Taiwanese” or as “Chinese” or “Both”:  57.5% identify themselves as “Taiwanese”, 4.9% identify themselves as “Chinese” and 35.2% identify themselves as “Both”.

The survey then asked if one is allowed to choose only between being “Taiwanese” and being “Chinese”,  80.1% chose “Taiwanese” and 12.9% chose “Chinese”.

How can this be?



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A science fiction vision of Garry Kasparov’s future

A science fiction vision of Garry Kasparov’s future

It is October 10, 2067, at the Eco-Mobility World Festival in the Hamahsing Railway Cultural Park, in Kaohsiung.  A forum is held to talk about advances over the past 50 years since May, 2017, when chess grand master Garry Kasparov published his book “Deep Thinking:  Where Machine Intelligence Ends and Human Creativity Begins” following his loss to IBM’s Deep Blue in a chess rematch.

Our two fictional futurists Art and Sage are present at the forum.  They engage in conversation.

Art:  I still remember when Taipei launched its unmanned electric minibus system in August, 2017, and Kaohsiung launched its unmanned electric minibus system in October, 2017.  They operated along dedicated bus lanes at maximum speed of 40 kilometers per hour, carrying 12 passengers.  Unmanned electric minibus systems in Singapore, Australia, Leon, France, and Switzerland have now expanded their systems citywide and are no longer restricted within enclosed areas such as between airport parking lots and airline terminals, school campuses and hospital grounds.  Both Taipei and Kaohsiung use versions of the EZ10 manufactured by France’s Easymile and Taiwan’s 7Starlake.

Sage:  Privet.  Yes, and China began production of natural gas from flammable ice in the South China Sea in 2017.  Germany has gotten rid of diesel fueled vehicles in 2030.

Art:  And now, all city buses in Taipei and Kaohsiung are driver-less.  All amputations, heart and valve surgeries, cancer treatments are being performed by intelligent medical robots.  Deep sea oil drilling and oil production, shale oil extraction and production, as well as extraction and production of natural gas from flammable ice, are all being performed by intelligent machinery.  Manufacturing of automobiles, now all electric, are done by robots.

Sage:  So what’s the theme of this Eco-Mobility World Festival 2067?

Art:  Environmental pollution, climate change, and cleanup of ocean pollution.

Sage:  There is still a serious problem with severe greenhouse gas pollution.  The ozone layer has thinned.  Outdoor temperature has risen.  The outdoor environment is now unfit for human activity.  People spend all of their lives indoors in indoor climate controlled environments.  Outdoor activity is risky and dangerous. Garbage collection, household trash collection and treatment, gutter and sewage cleaning, street sweeping, are all done by machines.

Art:  Because of serious ocean pollution, all marine life have been severely contaminated, and all aquatic food products are now farm raised in fish farms, shrimp farms, and shark farms providing shark meat, and restaurants are now serving shark steaks.  Whale hunting has been banned worldwide in 2067.

Sage:  Yes, whale hunting persisted until governments passed strict laws banning the use of all animal based oils.  All foods are raised and grown in indoor farms.  Organic foods are also grown indoors.  With indoor farming, pests and insects that ravage outdoor farming have been almost eliminated.  Genetically altered foods are no longer needed.  All food staples are produced indoors.

Art:  Yes, soil and agricultural land throughout the world have been so polluted by 2057 that crops have failed.  Crop failures worldwide have prompted the surge in indoor farming.  The people of poorer states who still have to rely on natural outdoor farming and polluted outdoor water sources wage wars against the wealthier and more mechanized societies for control of resources and water.

Sage:  In 2057, many states have finally realized the importance of desalination of sea water.  Desalination plants now dot the coastlines of many states.

Art:  Wars are now fought over control of such facilities.  And wars are fought by unmanned drones, naval ships are unmanned, and soldiers are robots.  And since all people live indoors, peripheral damage to human life is cut to a minimum.  Precision strikes against leaders are conducted.

Sage:  Sadly, human creativity will continue to be focused on waging war with the help of machine intelligence, and I do not think this is exactly the future envisioned by chess grand master Gary Kasparov back in May of 2017.



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Fiction: Fantasy Land

Fiction:  Fantasy Land

This is fiction about a place called Fantasy Land in an alternate parallel universe.  In this Fantasy Land, adolescent sexual fantasies of early adolescence between 11 and 14 years old, middle adolescence between 15 and 17 years old and late adolescence between 18 and 21 years old are realized by the “subjects” of their infatuation.

Our two female heroines Kate and Pat have come together to talk about this after reading a real story about a young female student who committed suicide after revealing that she had been sexually molested by her middle aged male teacher.  Prosecution has been difficult because adolescent infatuation with the male teacher may be involved and criminal intent cannot be proven.

Kate:  One common infatuation of a male adolescent student is with his mature and beautiful female teacher.  It is a teenage fantasy of sexual conquest.

Pat:  Teacher and student love affairs are criminal offenses if the student is an adolescent and not legally an adult.

Kate:  What if sex between a mature female teacher and her male adolescent student is not deemed criminal?  And what if sex between a mature male teacher and his female adolescent student is not deemed criminal?

Pat:  First, how would the sexual fantasy and sexual infatuation of an adolescent be satisfied by the “subject” of an adolescent’s sexual fantasy?

Kate:  There can be two ways.  First, the mature female teacher can engage in non-procreative sex with her male adolescent student by helping him masturbate without criminality attached to the act.  Second, the mature female teacher could fulfill the adolescent’s sexual fantasy by having non-procreative or procreative sex with her adolescent student without criminality attached to the act.  A mature male teacher could fulfill a female adolescent student’s sexual fantasy by having non-procreative or procreative sex with his female adolescent student without criminality attached to the act.

Pat:  So this is your Fantasy Land where such acts are not criminal?

Kate:  It will depend on voluntary willingness of both parties to engage in such an act.

Pat:  Mutual consent?  Then “consent” must be legally defined as “willingness without any coercion”, i.e., willingness on the part of the adolescent without being coerced in any way, and a minimum age of 12 years old is required for “consent” to be legal.

Kate:  So you are basing the minimum age of 12 years old for “consent” on the case of Mary Kay Letourneau and Vili Fualaau?  She was 34 years old and he was 12 years old when she was first impregnated (1996) by him.  She had two children by him.  They married in 2005 and he filed for separation in May, 2017.

Pat:  What about an adult male teacher and an adolescent girl of 12 years old?  Would a 12-year-old girl be old enough to give “consent”?

Kate:  It has happened in the UK in real life.  There is also a case in Taiwan in which the father of a baby born by a young girl turned out to be her grandfather.

Pat:  So, in Fantasy Land, neither Mary Kay Letourneau nor this grandfather or the UK man would have committed any criminal act such as felony second degree rape of a child or criminal incest?

Kate:  In Fantasy Land, no.





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Fake media literacy

Fake media literacy

I define fake media literacy as the deliberate falsification of information and the deliberate creation of biased information, messages, packaged political propaganda, politically manipulated information and government responses designed to defend and perpetuate propaganda and political lies.

It’s the government that fabricates fake news

A Taiwanese commentator wrote a rather lengthy comment asking:  “Will facing up to fake news bring an opportunity for progress of a civil society?”

The commentary says that the seven definitions of misinformation and disinformation issued by Google’s First Draft News and the categories of fake news as untruthful news reports, packaged rumors as news, and rumors that threaten and endanger national security do not include “erroneous messages issued by government”.

The Taiwanese government began to address the “fake news” issue in February of 2017, and the way the Taiwanese government has decided to deal with the issue is to quickly retort rumors and fake news to stop them from spreading further through social media.

The government of President Tsai Ing-wen and of her Democratic Progressive Party issues fake news to mislead the public, to dismiss the consequence of mistaken policies, and to attack truthful reports that expose the government’s policy mistakes and errors, misjudgments, fake and fabricated statistical data designed to cover up and disguise the truth about the real economic situation, and to protect the government’s radical political agenda that is the root of social division, social protests, social discontent, social distrust of government.

Facts and genuine information are attacked by the government as false.  Honest and genuine suggestions and advice by experts are dismissed or retorted as being unworthy of attention.

In Taiwan, all of the above are employed, and the Democratic Progressive Party’s government and officials and the government of President Tsai Ing-wen are the fabricators of rumors, fake news, false news, politically charged disinformation, misquotes, misspoken ridicules, faked and falsified contextual information, manipulated content to deceive the public and to manipulate public opinion, and speculative accusations about political enemies and individual political opponents.

President Tsai Ing-wen and her government of her Democratic Progressive Party are indeed utterly despicable in spreading fake media literacy.

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